The US Commodity Futures Buying and selling Fee obtained greater than 1,500 responses to a proposed rule tied to prediction markets, with some backing the regulator whereas others referred to as for a more durable crackdown on the platforms.
The CFTC’s request for public feedback on a rule it proposed in March that will enable it to amend or problem new laws for occasion contracts on prediction markets ended on Thursday, drawing responses from prediction markets, crypto corporations and client advocacy teams.
Kalshi co-founder and chief working officer Luana Lopes Lara backed the CFTC in a letter on Thursday, saying its current laws have been “well-designed and efficient,” urging it to offer steering to make sure “that the universe of occasion contracts can proceed to be listed, traded, and overseen by the Fee.”
The CFTC’s proposed rule comes because it appears to be like to cement its authority over prediction markets, which have confronted authorized challenges from a number of US states that accuse the platforms of providing unlicensed sports activities playing.
Kalshi, Polymarket and Coinbase are among the many firms which have been sued over their sports activities prediction market choices and have argued they’re underneath the CFTC’s sole authority, a place the regulator has backed by suing not less than 5 state governments that took authorized motion towards prediction markets.
Polymarket US CEO Justin Hertzberg applauded CFTC Chair Mike Selig in his letter for “asserting the CFTC’s longstanding unique jurisdiction over prediction markets,” including the corporate believes the regulator “ought to proceed to train its unique jurisdiction over prediction markets.”

Mike Selig, pictured on a podcast in March, has threatened to sue any state that takes motion towards prediction markets. Supply: YouTube
Enterprise capital agency Andreessen Horowitz additionally supported the CFTC, arguing in its letter that “state actions to control or ban prediction markets impose a severe barrier to neutral entry,” a key rule for CFTC-regulated corporations.
In the meantime, playing regulators in Tennessee, Missouri and Pennsylvania, amongst others, blasted the CFTC over its protection of sports activities occasion contracts, urging the regulator to drop its help.
Pennsylvania Gaming Management Board Government Director Kevin O’Toole mentioned the CFTC was permitting prediction markets “to masquerade as unregulated sportsbooks,” whereas Tennessee Sports activities Wagering Council Government Director Mary Beth Thomas mentioned the council disputes “that sports activities occasion contracts supplied on prediction markets fall inside the jurisdiction of the CFTC in any respect.”
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Missouri Gaming Fee govt director Michael Leara mentioned that Congress “didn’t intend futures markets to embody playing actions,” and urged the CFTC to “correctly reserve jurisdiction over sports activities occasion contracts for the states.”
Prediction markets have additionally come underneath scrutiny from some federal lawmakers, who’re involved concerning the platforms’ providing markets tied to geopolitical occasions and their doable use by these with insider data after well-timed bets on the Iran battle.
Dennis Kelleher, the CEO and co-founder of the buyer advocacy group Higher Markets, and 12 different client teams, informed the CFTC in a joint letter that it ought to “prohibit occasion contracts that contain elections or geopolitical occasions,” arguing such contracts might affect authorities actions.
Kalshi and Polymarket mentioned final week, after the US Senate handed a ban on its members and workers utilizing prediction markets, that they’ve cracked down on insider buying and selling and ban or prohibit some customers, reminiscent of politicians, from utilizing their platforms.
Journal: Ought to customers be allowed to guess on battle and loss of life in prediction markets?
